Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 11.658119 13.307591 15.112978 17.236664 19.667831 22.365787 25.589389
2026-02-01 9.200827 11.311006 13.799970 16.956050 20.857543 25.530480 31.564858
2026-02-08 7.736840 10.023671 12.867773 16.672092 21.639930 27.924134 36.505310
2026-02-15 6.686651 9.044388 12.107172 16.388459 22.238188 29.980414 41.054648
2026-02-22 6.218985 8.735885 12.132899 17.069178 24.088888 33.758772 48.171169
2026-03-01 5.709679 8.295052 11.905482 17.336854 25.341892 36.771724 54.448890
2026-03-08 5.188444 7.771444 11.491888 17.267923 26.062862 39.038161 59.795518
2026-03-15 4.726756 7.282073 11.069244 17.122720 26.622448 41.069295 64.918429
2026-03-22 4.504658 7.128063 11.123139 17.688654 28.292741 44.893248 73.134162
2026-03-29 4.284985 6.953145 11.121483 18.153264 29.823046 48.599013 81.462952
2026-04-05 4.121740 6.850401 11.218287 18.772989 31.640254 52.892556 91.119744
2026-04-12 3.769437 6.404771 10.719063 18.355207 31.677204 54.221055 95.810765
2026-04-19 3.468535 6.024441 10.303290 18.052902 31.900728 55.909566 101.338152
2026-04-26 3.200143 5.677250 9.914548 17.761259 32.111190 57.581338 106.972885
2026-05-03 2.958435 5.356020 9.542913 17.463347 32.274116 59.162383 112.551899
2026-05-10 2.740661 5.059451 9.190004 17.165894 32.403763 60.676486 118.112646
2026-05-17 2.688524 5.061940 9.375564 17.879801 34.484047 65.979998 131.466554
2026-05-24 2.579564 4.948430 9.336663 18.160537 35.748872 69.820832 142.249296
2026-05-31 2.433532 4.752136 9.126003 18.088243 36.308637 72.321907 150.516409
2026-06-07 2.289659 4.548725 8.885751 17.935955 36.690391 74.488719 158.264094
2026-06-14 2.242732 4.533848 9.011437 18.529511 38.640618 79.984924 173.559268
2026-06-21 2.185841 4.494101 9.083739 19.016816 40.404772 85.229770 188.771783
2026-06-28 2.148332 4.491067 9.229160 19.666836 42.564116 91.475211 206.758257